Central bank decisions, inflation prints, employment data and PMIs — with previous, forecast and actual figures, filtered by expected impact.
Most avoidable losses come from being in a position when a scheduled release lands. The calendar is not a crystal ball — it is a list of the moments when spreads widen, liquidity thins and stops get hit for reasons that have nothing to do with your analysis.
If a high-impact release for your instrument's currency is due within the hour, size down or wait.
Markets price the forecast in advance; the move comes from the gap between forecast and actual.
A revision to last month's figure can move the market as much as this month's headline number.

Fed, ECB, BoE, BoJ. The decision itself is often priced; the press conference and the vote split are where the volatility is.
The single most reliable market-mover of the last few years, because it drives the rate path.
US non-farm payrolls on the first Friday, plus weekly claims — the clearest read on the growth side of the mandate.
Forward-looking surveys and the quarterly reality check. Watch the components, not just the headline.
| Field | Example | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|
| Time | 13:30 UTC | When the number lands. Spreads widen seconds before and after. |
| Impact | High | How much the market usually moves on a surprise in this release. |
| Previous | 3.1% | Last period's figure, sometimes revised at the same moment. |
| Forecast | 2.9% | The consensus already priced into the market. |
| Actual | 3.3% | The surprise versus forecast is what drives the move — here, hotter than expected. |
A 0.4pp upside surprise on CPI typically strengthens the currency and pressures equity indices, because it implies a tighter rate path.
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